World Cup Winner Factor Survey

Winner Factors sorted by structural score.

#1 — France 2026

Winner Factor: 1.122

#2 — Argentina 2026

Winner Factor: 1.111

#3 — Mexico 2026

Winner Factor: 1.105

#4 — Brazil 2026

Winner Factor: 1.093

#5 — Japan 2026

Winner Factor: 1.081

#6 — Netherlands 2026

Winner Factor: 1.079

#7 — Jordan 2026

Winner Factor: 1.071

#8 — USA 2026

Winner Factor: 1.055

#9 — England 2026

Winner Factor: 1.051

#10 — Portugal 2026

Winner Factor: 1.033

#11 — Czech Republic 2026

Winner Factor: 1.028

#12 — Spain 2026

Winner Factor: 1.016

#13 — Austria 2026

Winner Factor: 1.010

#14 — Cabo Verde 2026

Winner Factor: 1.006

#15 — Germany 2026

Winner Factor: 0.981

Interpretation

The Winner Factor is intended as a comparative structural indicator.

It is not a deterministic prediction model.

The value summarizes all analysed interaction layers.

Continue exploring

Historical datasets

World Cup 2026

Methodological background